Combing through the census data is interesting.
The white population declined in the US for the first time in history. Was not just outpaced, mind you, actually declined. And not unsubstainally either, 8.6%. The white population now accounts for around 57.8% of the population. The fastest growing population was those who considering themselves multiracial, surging a dramatic 276%, from 9 million in 2010 to 33.8 million in 2020.
What’s more, rural communities accounted for a majority of population decline, while the cities grew and the suburbs went nuclear. Suburban growth is the highest it’s been since suburbs became a thing.
There was much umming and awwing about “white flight” from the cities to the suburbs and rural areas, with a prediction that cities would become majority nonwhite, suburbs majority white, and that rural growth would pick back up.
That has not occurred, at least not fully. White folk have left for the subs, but so have minorities. Leading to incredibly diverse, and particularly large suburbs.
This complicates redistricting for both parties. Population decline gives Republicans less buffer zones to shove into suburbs to beef their support. And dems have only recently gotten a foothold in the suburbs, so relying on voting data from the last two cycles carries risks.